This ruling sets no lasting precedent, but it is unlikely that the Court will overturn both Abood v. Detroit Board of Education and this opinion in the future. President Obama's current nominee to fill the vacant seat, Judge Merrick Garland, has frequently sided with organized labor in the lower courts, and will probably join the liberal bloc in a possible rehearing, denying Friedrichs' claim more permanently. Even if this specific case, or another presenting a similar question, is reheard before the Court changes, it is unlikely to have a different result.
Though this may appear to be a triumph of the right to collective bargaining, in reality it weakens the protection of individual opinions that is essential to the preservation of our constitutional framework. As the Court observed more than seventy years ago, "It seems trite but necessary to say that the First Amendment was designed to avoid these ends by avoiding these beginnings... We set up government by consent of the governed, and the Bill of Rights denies to those in power any legal opportunity to coerce that consent" West Virginia v. Barnette, 319 U.S. 624 (1943). That statement seems equally applicable now.
Our earlier "On Certiorari" discussion of this case with Michael Carvin, petitioner's lawyer